Paysandu host Confiança in the Serie C on Tuesday 11 August, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Leonidas Sodre de Castro. Paysandu are 4th with 5 points from 6 games, while Confiança sit 20th on 13 points.
Form guide
Paysandu's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Amazonas 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Confiança's last 5: DLLDW Most recently they drew with AO Itabaiana 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Paysandu and 0.7 for Confiança. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 53%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Paysandu 1–0 Confiança. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Paysandu64%fair 1.57 · @1.60
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.55
Confiança15%fair 6.55 · @5.25
2.51Expected goals
1.79Paysandu xG
0.72Confiança xG
53%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Paysandu 1.8 – 0.7 Confiança expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paysandu to win✓
64%
1.57
1.60
Double chance
Paysandu or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.35
Half-time result
Paysandu ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paysandu / FT Paysandu✗
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.86
–
Form
Paysandu – last 6
LWLLWL
27 Jul
@ Amazonas
1–2
L
12 Jul
vs Guarani Campinas
3–2
W
5 Jul
@ Ypiranga-RS
0–1
L
27 Jun
vs Santa Cruz
1–3
L
21 Jun
@ Maranhão
1–0
W
14 Jun
vs Inter De Limeira
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Confiança – last 6
DLLDWL
25 Jul
vs AO Itabaiana
1–1
D
12 Jul
@ Botafogo PB
0–2
L
4 Jul
vs Barra
1–2
L
29 Jun
@ Ypiranga-RS
1–1
D
22 Jun
vs Guarani Campinas
2–0
W
14 Jun
@ Volta Redonda
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paysandu and Confiança.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Paysandu vs Confiança?
On our numbers Paysandu have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Confiança 15%.
How many goals will there be in Paysandu vs Confiança?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paysandu vs Confiança?
Our predicted score is Paysandu 1–0 Confiança, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Paysandu vs Confiança?
Paysandu vs Confiança (Serie C) kicks off on Tuesday 11 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Leonidas Sodre de Castro.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
