Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.85Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultItuano to win ✓64% · @1.85
Double chanceItuano or draw ✓88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.51
Ituano vs Barra preview and prediction
The match
The Serie C sees Ituano take on Barra on Saturday 8 August, kicking off at 23:30 (WAT). Ituano are 15th with 22 points from 19 games (in the bottom half), while Barra sit 17th on 21 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Ituano's last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to Brusque 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Barra's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Ypiranga-RS 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Ituano and 0.6 for Barra. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ituano 64%, draw 24%, Barra 12%.
Safer route: Ituano or draw (88%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ituano to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ituano 1–0 Barra. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ituano64%fair 1.56 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.20
Barra12%fair 8.22 · @4.10
2.20Expected goals
1.65Ituano xG
0.56Barra xG
50%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Ituano 1.6 – 0.6 Barra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ituano to win✓
64%
1.56
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Ituano or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.15
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ituano / FT Ituano✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.51
–
Form
Ituano – last 6
LLLDDD
26 Jul
@ Brusque
0–1
L
12 Jul
vs Ferroviária
1–3
L
4 Jul
@ Santa Cruz
0–1
L
29 Jun
vs Maranhão
0–0
D
21 Jun
vs Figueirense
0–0
D
14 Jun
@ AO Itabaiana
2–2
D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Barra – last 6
LLWLDL
26 Jul
@ Ypiranga-RS
0–1
L
12 Jul
vs Santa Cruz
1–2
L
4 Jul
@ Confiança
2–1
W
27 Jun
@ Floresta
1–2
L
21 Jun
vs Amazonas
1–1
D
16 Jun
@ Ferroviária
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ituano and Barra.
Our pick is Ituano to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Ituano vs Barra?
On our numbers Ituano have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Barra 12%.
How many goals will there be in Ituano vs Barra?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ituano vs Barra?
Our predicted score is Ituano 1–0 Barra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Ituano vs Barra?
Ituano vs Barra (Serie C) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
