Maringá travel to face Floresta in the Serie C on Tuesday 28 July (00:00 WAT). Floresta are 3rd with 5 points from 6 games, while Maringá sit 1st on 11 points.
Form guide
Floresta's last 5: DDWLL Most recently they drew with Caxias 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Maringá's last 5: WWDDD Most recently they beat Anápolis 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Floresta and 1.5 for Maringá. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Floresta 34%, draw 22%, Maringá 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Floresta 1–1 Maringá. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Floresta34%fair 2.97 · @2.88
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.10
Maringá44%fair 2.27 · @2.30
2.67Expected goals
1.22Floresta xG
1.45Maringá xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: Floresta 1.2 – 1.5 Maringá expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maringá to win✗
44%
2.27
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maringá / FT Maringá✗
25%
4.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.00
–
Form
Floresta – last 6
DDWLLW
11 Jul
@ Caxias
0–0
D
5 Jul
@ Guarani Campinas
0–0
D
27 Jun
vs Barra
2–1
W
21 Jun
@ Brusque
1–2
L
14 Jun
vs Figueirense
1–2
L
30 May
vs Confiança
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Maringá – last 6
WWDDDL
12 Jul
@ Anápolis
1–0
W
4 Jul
vs Volta Redonda
4–0
W
27 Jun
@ Inter De Limeira
2–2
D
21 Jun
@ Caxias
1–1
D
15 Jun
vs Maranhão
0–0
D
30 May
@ Botafogo PB
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Floresta and Maringá.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Floresta vs Maringá?
On our numbers Floresta have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Maringá 44%.
How many goals will there be in Floresta vs Maringá?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Floresta vs Maringá?
Our predicted score is Floresta 1–1 Maringá, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Floresta vs Maringá?
Floresta vs Maringá (Serie C) kicks off on Tuesday 28 July 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
