Value bet: Brusque to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBrusque to win ✗39% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.23
AO Itabaiana vs Brusque preview and prediction
The match
Brusque travel to Estadio Etelvino Mendonca in the Serie C on Monday 13 July (23:30 WAT) to face AO Itabaiana. AO Itabaiana are 19th with 17 points from 19 games, while Brusque sit 3rd on 7 points.
Form guide
AO Itabaiana's last 5: WWLDL Most recently they beat Amazonas 2–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Brusque's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Figueirense 3–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for AO Itabaiana and 1.4 for Brusque. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 47%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: AO Itabaiana 33%, draw 28%, Brusque 39%.
Value angle: Brusque to win at 2.75 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Either team to win – a 72% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: AO Itabaiana 0–1 Brusque. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AO Itabaiana33%fair 3.05 · @2.65
Draw28%fair 3.52 · @2.80
Brusque39%fair 2.58 · @2.75
2.57Expected goals
1.16AO Itabaiana xG
1.41Brusque xG
47%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: AO Itabaiana 1.2 – 1.4 Brusque expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brusque to win✗
39%
2.58
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.40
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brusque / FT Brusque✗
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.23
–
Form
AO Itabaiana – last 6
WWLDLD
7 Jul
@ Amazonas
2–0
W
27 Jun
vs Ferroviária
1–0
W
20 Jun
@ Anápolis
0–2
L
14 Jun
vs Ituano
2–2
D
30 May
vs Volta Redonda
0–1
L
24 May
@ Inter De Limeira
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Brusque – last 6
WLWLWL
6 Jul
vs Figueirense
3–1
W
1 Jul
@ Botafogo PB
0–2
L
21 Jun
vs Floresta
2–1
W
14 Jun
vs Santa Cruz
0–1
L
24 May
vs Anápolis
1–0
W
17 May
@ Ferroviária
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AO Itabaiana and Brusque.
What is the prediction for AO Itabaiana vs Brusque?
Our pick is Either team to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win AO Itabaiana vs Brusque?
On our numbers AO Itabaiana have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Brusque 39%.
How many goals will there be in AO Itabaiana vs Brusque?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AO Itabaiana vs Brusque?
Our predicted score is AO Itabaiana 0–1 Brusque, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is AO Itabaiana vs Brusque?
AO Itabaiana vs Brusque (Serie C) kicks off on Monday 13 July 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Etelvino Mendonca.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
