Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultConfiança to win ✗48% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.65
Confiança vs Barra preview and prediction
The match
Confiança host Barra in the Serie C on Saturday 4 July, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT). Confiança are 20th with 13 points from 19 games (in the bottom three), while Barra sit 17th on 21 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Confiança's last 5: DWLLD Most recently they drew with Ypiranga-RS 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Barra's last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to Floresta 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for Confiança and 0.9 for Barra. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Confiança 48%, draw 22%, Barra 30%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Confiança 1–0 Barra. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Confiança48%fair 2.08 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.10
Barra30%fair 3.37 · @3.55
2.10Expected goals
1.23Confiança xG
0.87Barra xG
54%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Confiança 1.2 – 0.9 Barra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Confiança to win✗
48%
2.08
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Confiança / FT Confiança✗
26%
3.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.65
–
Form
Confiança – last 6
DWLLDW
29 Jun
@ Ypiranga-RS
1–1
D
22 Jun
vs Guarani Campinas
2–0
W
14 Jun
@ Volta Redonda
0–1
L
30 May
@ Floresta
0–1
L
24 May
vs Figueirense
0–0
D
19 May
vs Maranhão
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Barra – last 6
LDLDLW
27 Jun
@ Floresta
1–2
L
21 Jun
vs Amazonas
1–1
D
16 Jun
@ Ferroviária
0–1
L
17 May
@ Anápolis
1–1
D
14 May
@ Corinthians
0–1
L
5 May
@ Figueirense
3–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Confiança and Barra.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Confiança vs Barra?
On our numbers Confiança have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Barra 30%.
How many goals will there be in Confiança vs Barra?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Confiança vs Barra?
Our predicted score is Confiança 1–0 Barra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Confiança vs Barra?
Confiança vs Barra (Serie C) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
