Value bet: Figueirense to win @ 3.20 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBrusque to win ✓39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.53
Brusque vs Figueirense preview and prediction
The match
Figueirense travel to face Brusque in the Serie C on Monday 6 July (23:00 WAT). Brusque are 3rd with 7 points from 6 games, while Figueirense sit 11th on 28 points. A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Brusque's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Botafogo PB 0–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Figueirense's last 5: DDWWD Most recently they drew with Guarani Campinas 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Brusque and 1.2 for Figueirense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: Figueirense to win at 3.20 – 36% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Brusque 1–1 Figueirense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Brusque39%fair 2.57 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.00
Figueirense36%fair 2.79 · @3.20
2.37Expected goals
1.22Brusque xG
1.16Figueirense xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Brusque 1.2 – 1.2 Figueirense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brusque to win✓
39%
2.57
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brusque / FT Brusque✓
21%
4.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.53
–
Form
Brusque – last 6
LWLWLW
1 Jul
@ Botafogo PB
0–2
L
21 Jun
vs Floresta
2–1
W
14 Jun
vs Santa Cruz
0–1
L
24 May
vs Anápolis
1–0
W
17 May
@ Ferroviária
0–1
L
10 May
vs Ypiranga-RS
3–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Figueirense – last 6
DDWWDL
28 Jun
vs Guarani Campinas
1–1
D
21 Jun
@ Ituano
0–0
D
14 Jun
@ Floresta
2–1
W
1 Jun
vs Paysandu
2–1
W
24 May
@ Confiança
0–0
D
16 May
vs AO Itabaiana
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brusque and Figueirense.
What is the prediction for Brusque vs Figueirense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Brusque vs Figueirense?
On our numbers Brusque have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Figueirense 36%.
How many goals will there be in Brusque vs Figueirense?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brusque vs Figueirense?
Our predicted score is Brusque 1–1 Figueirense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Brusque vs Figueirense?
Brusque vs Figueirense (Serie C) kicks off on Monday 6 July 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
