Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1
Value bet: Amazonas to win @ 1.83 – our chance 58% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAmazonas to win ✗58% · @1.83
Double chanceAmazonas or draw ✗83% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.95
Amazonas vs AO Itabaiana preview and prediction
The match
The Serie C sees Amazonas take on AO Itabaiana on Tuesday 7 July, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT). Amazonas are 13th with 26 points from 19 games (in the bottom half), while AO Itabaiana sit 19th on 17 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Amazonas's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Volta Redonda 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
AO Itabaiana's last 5: WLDLD Most recently they beat Ferroviária 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
AO Itabaiana arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.5 for Amazonas and 0.7 for AO Itabaiana. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 37%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Amazonas 58%, draw 25%, AO Itabaiana 17%.
Safer route: Amazonas or draw (83%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Amazonas to win at 1.83 – 58% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Amazonas 2–0 AO Itabaiana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Amazonas58%fair 1.72 · @1.83
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.10
AO Itabaiana17%fair 6.04 · @4.40
2.21Expected goals
1.53Amazonas xG
0.68AO Itabaiana xG
49%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Amazonas 1.5 – 0.7 AO Itabaiana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Amazonas to win✗
58%
1.72
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Amazonas or draw✗
83%
1.20
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Amazonas / FT Amazonas✗
35%
2.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.95
–
Form
Amazonas – last 6
LDWLLL
1 Jul
@ Volta Redonda
0–3
L
21 Jun
@ Barra
1–1
D
13 Jun
vs Anápolis
1–0
W
31 May
@ Guarani Campinas
0–5
L
24 May
vs Ferroviária
1–2
L
16 May
@ Floresta
2–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
AO Itabaiana – last 6
WLDLDW
27 Jun
vs Ferroviária
1–0
W
20 Jun
@ Anápolis
0–2
L
14 Jun
vs Ituano
2–2
D
30 May
vs Volta Redonda
0–1
L
24 May
@ Inter De Limeira
0–0
D
16 May
@ Figueirense
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Amazonas and AO Itabaiana.
What is the prediction for Amazonas vs AO Itabaiana?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Amazonas vs AO Itabaiana?
On our numbers Amazonas have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and AO Itabaiana 17%.
How many goals will there be in Amazonas vs AO Itabaiana?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Amazonas vs AO Itabaiana?
Our predicted score is Amazonas 2–0 AO Itabaiana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Amazonas vs AO Itabaiana?
Amazonas vs AO Itabaiana (Serie C) kicks off on Tuesday 7 July 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
