Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultItuano to win ✗62% · @1.60
Double chanceItuano or draw ✓86% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.00
Ituano vs Maranhão preview and prediction
The match
Maranhão travel to face Ituano in the Serie C on Monday 29 June (00:30 WAT). Ituano are 15th with 22 points from 19 games (in the bottom half), while Maranhão sit 12th on 27 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Ituano's last 5: DDLWW Most recently they drew with Figueirense 0–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Maranhão's last 5: LDDDL Most recently they lost to Paysandu 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ituano arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Ituano and 0.6 for Maranhão. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ituano 62%, draw 23%, Maranhão 14%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Ituano 1–0 Maranhão. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ituano62%fair 1.60 · @1.60
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.40
Maranhão14%fair 6.98 · @5.50
2.30Expected goals
1.66Ituano xG
0.64Maranhão xG
50%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Ituano 1.7 – 0.6 Maranhão expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ituano to win✗
62%
1.60
1.60
Double chance
Ituano or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ituano / FT Ituano✗
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
6.00
–
Form
Ituano – last 6
DDLWWW
21 Jun
vs Figueirense
0–0
D
14 Jun
@ AO Itabaiana
2–2
D
30 May
@ Caxias
1–2
L
26 May
vs Botafogo PB
1–0
W
17 May
@ Guarani Campinas
3–1
W
10 May
vs Confiança
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Maranhão – last 6
LDDDLW
21 Jun
vs Paysandu
0–1
L
15 Jun
@ Maringá
0–0
D
31 May
@ Anápolis
0–0
D
23 May
vs Caxias
0–0
D
19 May
@ Confiança
1–2
L
5 May
@ Floresta
2–1
W
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ituano and Maranhão.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Ituano vs Maranhão?
On our numbers Ituano have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Maranhão 14%.
How many goals will there be in Ituano vs Maranhão?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ituano vs Maranhão?
Our predicted score is Ituano 1–0 Maranhão, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Ituano vs Maranhão?
Ituano vs Maranhão (Serie C) kicks off on Monday 29 June 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
