Figueirense vs Guarani Campinas preview and prediction
The match
Figueirense host Guarani Campinas in the Serie C on Sunday 28 June, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT). Figueirense are 11th with 28 points from 19 games (in the bottom half), while Guarani Campinas sit 10th on 28 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Figueirense's last 5: DWWDL Most recently they drew with Ituano 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Guarani Campinas's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Confiança 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Figueirense and 1.3 for Guarani Campinas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Figueirense 1–1 Guarani Campinas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Figueirense33%fair 3.02 · @2.88
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.00
Guarani Campinas44%fair 2.29 · @2.38
2.46Expected goals
1.12Figueirense xG
1.34Guarani Campinas xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–29%
0–09%
0–28%
From our goals model: Figueirense 1.1 – 1.3 Guarani Campinas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guarani Campinas to win✗
44%
2.29
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guarani Campinas / FT Guarani Campinas✗
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.75
–
Form
Figueirense – last 6
DWWDLL
21 Jun
@ Ituano
0–0
D
14 Jun
@ Floresta
2–1
W
1 Jun
vs Paysandu
2–1
W
24 May
@ Confiança
0–0
D
16 May
vs AO Itabaiana
0–1
L
5 May
vs Barra
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Guarani Campinas – last 6
LWWLWD
22 Jun
@ Confiança
0–2
L
13 Jun
vs Caxias
2–1
W
31 May
vs Amazonas
5–0
W
17 May
vs Ituano
1–3
L
12 May
@ Maringá
5–0
W
28 Apr
@ Ferroviária
2–2
D
2.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Figueirense and Guarani Campinas.
What is the prediction for Figueirense vs Guarani Campinas?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Figueirense vs Guarani Campinas?
On our numbers Figueirense have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Guarani Campinas 44%.
How many goals will there be in Figueirense vs Guarani Campinas?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Figueirense vs Guarani Campinas?
Our predicted score is Figueirense 1–1 Guarani Campinas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Figueirense vs Guarani Campinas?
Figueirense vs Guarani Campinas (Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
