Confiança vs Guarani Campinas prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGuarani Campinas to win ✗47% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.24
Confiança vs Guarani Campinas preview and prediction
The match
Confiança host Guarani Campinas in the Serie C on Monday 22 June, with kick-off at 23:30 (WAT). Confiança are 20th with 13 points from 19 games (in the bottom three), while Guarani Campinas sit 10th on 28 points (in the top half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Confiança's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Volta Redonda 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Guarani Campinas's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Caxias 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Guarani Campinas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.0 for Confiança and 1.4 for Guarani Campinas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 53% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Confiança 1–1 Guarani Campinas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Confiança28%fair 3.63 · @3.30
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.00
Guarani Campinas47%fair 2.12 · @2.15
2.42Expected goals
1.02Confiança xG
1.40Guarani Campinas xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
1–29%
0–09%
0–29%
From our goals model: Confiança 1.0 – 1.4 Guarani Campinas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guarani Campinas to win✗
47%
2.12
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.15
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guarani Campinas / FT Guarani Campinas✗
27%
3.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.24
–
Form
Confiança – last 6
LLDWLL
14 Jun
@ Volta Redonda
0–1
L
30 May
@ Floresta
0–1
L
24 May
vs Figueirense
0–0
D
19 May
vs Maranhão
2–1
W
14 May
vs Gremio
0–3
L
10 May
@ Ituano
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Guarani Campinas – last 6
WWLWDD
13 Jun
vs Caxias
2–1
W
31 May
vs Amazonas
5–0
W
17 May
vs Ituano
1–3
L
12 May
@ Maringá
5–0
W
28 Apr
@ Ferroviária
2–2
D
16 Feb
@ Palmeiras
1–1
D
2.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Confiança and Guarani Campinas.
What is the prediction for Confiança vs Guarani Campinas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Confiança vs Guarani Campinas?
On our numbers Confiança have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Guarani Campinas 47%.
How many goals will there be in Confiança vs Guarani Campinas?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Confiança vs Guarani Campinas?
Our predicted score is Confiança 1–1 Guarani Campinas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Confiança vs Guarani Campinas?
Confiança vs Guarani Campinas (Serie C) kicks off on Monday 22 June 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
