Value bet: AO Itabaiana to win @ 3.50 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAnápolis to win ✓39% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.64
Anápolis vs AO Itabaiana preview and prediction
The match
The Serie C sees Anápolis take on AO Itabaiana on Saturday 20 June, kicking off at 20:30 (WAT) at Estadio Jonas Duarte. Anápolis are 18th with 19 points from 19 games (in the bottom three), while AO Itabaiana sit 19th on 17 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Anápolis's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Amazonas 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
AO Itabaiana's last 5: DLDWD Most recently they drew with Ituano 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Anápolis and 1.0 for AO Itabaiana. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Anápolis 39%, draw 26%, AO Itabaiana 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.10.
Value angle: AO Itabaiana to win at 3.50 – 35% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 2.10, above our fair price of 1.88, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Anápolis 1–1 AO Itabaiana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Anápolis39%fair 2.53 · @2.05
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @2.75
AO Itabaiana35%fair 2.89 · @3.50
2.15Expected goals
1.12Anápolis xG
1.03AO Itabaiana xG
53%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Anápolis 1.1 – 1.0 AO Itabaiana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Anápolis to win✓
39%
2.53
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Anápolis / FT Anápolis✓
21%
4.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.64
–
Form
Anápolis – last 6
LDLLWD
13 Jun
@ Amazonas
0–1
L
31 May
vs Maranhão
0–0
D
28 May
@ Rio Branco ES
1–2
L
24 May
@ Brusque
0–1
L
22 May
vs Rio Branco ES
3–0
W
17 May
vs Barra
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
AO Itabaiana – last 6
DLDWDD
14 Jun
vs Ituano
2–2
D
30 May
vs Volta Redonda
0–1
L
24 May
@ Inter De Limeira
0–0
D
16 May
@ Figueirense
1–0
W
30 Apr
@ Piauí
1–1
D
22 Apr
vs Botafogo PB
3–3
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Anápolis and AO Itabaiana.
What is the prediction for Anápolis vs AO Itabaiana?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Anápolis vs AO Itabaiana?
On our numbers Anápolis have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and AO Itabaiana 35%.
How many goals will there be in Anápolis vs AO Itabaiana?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Anápolis vs AO Itabaiana?
Our predicted score is Anápolis 1–1 AO Itabaiana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Anápolis vs AO Itabaiana?
Anápolis vs AO Itabaiana (Serie C) kicks off on Saturday 20 June 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jonas Duarte.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
