Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFerroviária to win ✓59% · @1.95
Double chanceFerroviária or draw ✓80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 5.73
Ferroviária vs Barra preview and prediction
The match
Barra travel to Arena Fonte Luminosa in the Serie C on Tuesday 16 June (00:30 WAT) to face Ferroviária. Ferroviária are 1st with 11 points from 6 games, while Barra sit 17th on 21 points.
Form guide
Ferroviária's last 5: DWWLD Most recently they drew with Santa Cruz 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Barra's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Anápolis 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.5 for Ferroviária and 0.7 for Barra. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ferroviária 59%, draw 21%, Barra 20%.
Safer route: Ferroviária or draw (80%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ferroviária to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.69, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ferroviária 1–0 Barra. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ferroviária59%fair 1.69 · @1.95
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @2.95
Barra20%fair 5.06 · @4.00
2.12Expected goals
1.46Ferroviária xG
0.66Barra xG
48%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–013%
0–012%
1–112%
2–18%
0–18%
From our goals model: Ferroviária 1.5 – 0.7 Barra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ferroviária to win✓
59%
1.69
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Ferroviária or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ferroviária / FT Ferroviária✗
34%
2.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
17%
5.73
–
Form
Ferroviária – last 6
DWWLDD
31 May
@ Santa Cruz
1–1
D
24 May
@ Amazonas
2–1
W
17 May
vs Brusque
1–0
W
13 May
vs Juventus
1–2
L
7 May
@ Juventus
0–0
D
30 Apr
vs Ituano
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Barra – last 6
DLWLWL
17 May
@ Anápolis
1–1
D
14 May
@ Corinthians
0–1
L
5 May
@ Figueirense
3–0
W
22 Apr
vs Corinthians
0–1
L
12 Apr
vs Maranhão
3–0
W
4 Apr
@ Botafogo PB
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ferroviária and Barra.
Our pick is Ferroviária to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Ferroviária vs Barra?
On our numbers Ferroviária have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Barra 20%.
How many goals will there be in Ferroviária vs Barra?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ferroviária vs Barra?
Our predicted score is Ferroviária 1–0 Barra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Ferroviária vs Barra?
Ferroviária vs Barra (Serie C) kicks off on Tuesday 16 June 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Fonte Luminosa.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
