Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPaysandu to win ✓57% · @1.85
Double chancePaysandu or draw ✓79% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.16
Paysandu vs Floresta preview and prediction
The match
Paysandu host Floresta in the Serie C on Tuesday 26 May, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Leonidas Sodre de Castro. Paysandu are 4th with 5 points from 6 games, while Floresta sit 3rd on 5 points. Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Paysandu's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Nacional AM 1–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Floresta's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Amazonas 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Paysandu arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for Paysandu and 0.8 for Floresta. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 51%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 51% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Paysandu 1–1 Floresta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Paysandu57%fair 1.75 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.10
Floresta21%fair 4.81 · @4.10
2.44Expected goals
1.61Paysandu xG
0.84Floresta xG
51%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Paysandu 1.6 – 0.8 Floresta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paysandu to win✓
57%
1.75
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Paysandu or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paysandu / FT Paysandu✓
34%
2.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.16
–
Form
Paysandu – last 6
WLDWWL
21 May
vs Nacional AM
1–0
W
17 May
@ Caxias
0–2
L
13 May
@ Vasco DA Gama
2–2
D
6 May
@ Águia de Marabá
5–1
W
29 Apr
@ Trem
3–0
W
22 Apr
vs Vasco DA Gama
0–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Floresta – last 6
WLWDLL
16 May
vs Amazonas
3–2
W
5 May
vs Maranhão
1–2
L
25 Apr
@ Botafogo PB
2–1
W
21 Apr
vs Ferroviária
0–0
D
26 Feb
@ Ferroviario
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Ceara
0–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paysandu and Floresta.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Paysandu vs Floresta?
On our numbers Paysandu have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Floresta 21%.
How many goals will there be in Paysandu vs Floresta?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paysandu vs Floresta?
Our predicted score is Paysandu 1–1 Floresta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Paysandu vs Floresta?
Paysandu vs Floresta (Serie C) kicks off on Tuesday 26 May 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Leonidas Sodre de Castro.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
