Olancho travel to Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse in the Liga Nacional on Tuesday 24 March (02:00 WAT) to face Lobos Upnfm. Lobos Upnfm are 6th with 19 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Olancho sit 7th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Lobos Upnfm's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Atlético Choloma 1–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Olancho's last 5: DWDWD Most recently they drew with CD Olimpia 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Lobos Upnfm and 1.5 for Olancho. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 57%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Lobos Upnfm 1–1 Olancho. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lobos Upnfm35%fair 2.89 · @2.55
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.30
Olancho43%fair 2.35 · @2.35
2.78Expected goals
1.30Lobos Upnfm xG
1.48Olancho xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Lobos Upnfm 1.3 – 1.5 Olancho expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Olancho to win✗
43%
2.35
2.35
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.66
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.78
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.34
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Olancho / FT Olancho✗
24%
4.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.91
–
Form
Lobos Upnfm – last 6
LLWWWL
21 Mar
vs Atlético Choloma
1–2
L
12 Mar
@ CD Motagua
0–2
L
9 Mar
vs Juticalpa
3–2
W
2 Mar
@ Génesis
2–0
W
27 Feb
vs Platense FC
1–0
W
21 Feb
@ Real Espana
3–4
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Olancho – last 6
DWDWDL
19 Mar
@ CD Olimpia
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Real Espana
3–0
W
11 Mar
@ Génesis
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Platense FC
2–1
W
2 Mar
@ CD Motagua
1–1
D
25 Feb
@ Victoria
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lobos Upnfm and Olancho.
What is the prediction for Lobos Upnfm vs Olancho?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Lobos Upnfm vs Olancho?
On our numbers Lobos Upnfm have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Olancho 43%.
How many goals will there be in Lobos Upnfm vs Olancho?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lobos Upnfm vs Olancho?
Our predicted score is Lobos Upnfm 1–1 Olancho, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Lobos Upnfm vs Olancho?
Lobos Upnfm vs Olancho (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Tuesday 24 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
