Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
1
Value bet: Novo Hamburgo to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNovo Hamburgo to win ✗58% · @1.85
Double chanceNovo Hamburgo or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.13
Novo Hamburgo vs São Luiz preview and prediction
The match
São Luiz travel to Estadio do Vale in the Gaúcho 1 on Saturday 7 March (00:00 WAT) to face Novo Hamburgo.
Form guide
Novo Hamburgo's last 3: LWW Most recently they lost to São Luiz 0–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
São Luiz's last 3: WLL Most recently they beat Novo Hamburgo 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Novo Hamburgo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 March 2026, finished São Luiz 1–0 Novo Hamburgo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Novo Hamburgo and 0.7 for São Luiz. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Novo Hamburgo 58%, draw 26%, São Luiz 16%.
Safer route: Novo Hamburgo or draw (84%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Novo Hamburgo to win at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Novo Hamburgo 2–0 São Luiz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Novo Hamburgo58%fair 1.74 · @1.85
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.10
São Luiz16%fair 6.09 · @4.10
2.25Expected goals
1.55Novo Hamburgo xG
0.70São Luiz xG
48%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Novo Hamburgo 1.6 – 0.7 São Luiz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Novo Hamburgo vs São Luiz?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Novo Hamburgo vs São Luiz?
On our numbers Novo Hamburgo have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 26% and São Luiz 16%.
How many goals will there be in Novo Hamburgo vs São Luiz?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Novo Hamburgo vs São Luiz?
Our predicted score is Novo Hamburgo 2–0 São Luiz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Novo Hamburgo vs São Luiz?
Novo Hamburgo vs São Luiz (Gaúcho 1) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio do Vale.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Gaúcho 1 · Brazil · Estadio do Vale
