Value bet: Cumbayá to win @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCumbayá to win ✗57% · @1.90
Double chanceCumbayá or draw ✓80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗62% · fair 1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗70% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.84
Cumbayá vs Santo Domingo preview and prediction
The match
Santo Domingo travel to face Cumbayá in the Liga Pro Serie B on Thursday 13 August (21:30 WAT). Cumbayá are 10th with 26 points from 22 games (in the bottom three), while Santo Domingo sit 8th on 28 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Cumbayá's last 5: DDDDW Most recently they drew with LDU Portoviejo 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 6 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Santo Domingo's last 5: WDLLD Most recently they beat Atletico FC 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 May 2026, finished Santo Domingo 0–0 Cumbayá.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.3 for Cumbayá and 0.6 for Santo Domingo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Cumbayá to win at 1.90 – 57% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Cumbayá 1–0 Santo Domingo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cumbayá57%fair 1.76 · @1.90
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @2.90
Santo Domingo20%fair 5.09 · @4.00
1.80Expected goals
1.25Cumbayá xG
0.55Santo Domingo xG
38%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–021%
0–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–19%
2–17%
From our goals model: Cumbayá 1.3 – 0.6 Santo Domingo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cumbayá vs Santo Domingo?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Cumbayá vs Santo Domingo?
On our numbers Cumbayá have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Santo Domingo 20%.
How many goals will there be in Cumbayá vs Santo Domingo?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cumbayá vs Santo Domingo?
Our predicted score is Cumbayá 1–0 Santo Domingo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Cumbayá vs Santo Domingo?
Cumbayá vs Santo Domingo (Liga Pro Serie B) kicks off on Thursday 13 August 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
