Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
Result9 de Octubre to win ✓61% · @1.75
Double chance9 de Octubre or draw ✓83% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.31
9 de Octubre vs Cumbayá preview and prediction
The match
Cumbayá travel to Estadio Modelo Alberto Spencer in the Liga Pro Serie B on Wednesday 29 April (22:30 WAT) to face 9 de Octubre. 9 de Octubre are 3rd with 37 points from 22 games (in the top four), while Cumbayá sit 10th on 26 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
9 de Octubre's last 3: WWD Most recently they beat Cde Nazareno FC 4–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cumbayá's last 3: DLD Most recently they drew with Cuniburo 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
9 de Octubre arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for 9 de Octubre and 0.7 for Cumbayá. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 43%.
Betting angles
Win chances: 9 de Octubre 61%, draw 22%, Cumbayá 17%.
Safer route: 9 de Octubre or draw (83%) at 1.14.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was 9 de Octubre to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it. Predicted score: 9 de Octubre 1–0 Cumbayá. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
9 de Octubre61%fair 1.64 · @1.75
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.20
Cumbayá17%fair 6.04 · @4.33
2.34Expected goals
1.649 de Octubre xG
0.70Cumbayá xG
43%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: 9 de Octubre 1.6 – 0.7 Cumbayá expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
9 de Octubre to win✓
61%
1.64
1.75 ▲
Double chance
9 de Octubre or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT 9 de Octubre / FT 9 de Octubre✗
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
16%
6.31
–
Form
9 de Octubre – last 3
WWD
14 Apr
@ Cde Nazareno FC
4–0
W
8 Apr
@ Cuniburo
1–0
W
27 Mar
@ Deportivo Cuenca Juniors
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Cumbayá – last 3
DLD
2 Apr
vs Cuniburo
1–1
D
26 Mar
@ Ind. Juniors
1–2
L
19 Mar
vs Atletico FC
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between 9 de Octubre and Cumbayá.
What is the prediction for 9 de Octubre vs Cumbayá?
Our pick is 9 de Octubre to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win 9 de Octubre vs Cumbayá?
On our numbers 9 de Octubre have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cumbayá 17%.
How many goals will there be in 9 de Octubre vs Cumbayá?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for 9 de Octubre vs Cumbayá?
Our predicted score is 9 de Octubre 1–0 Cumbayá, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is 9 de Octubre vs Cumbayá?
9 de Octubre vs Cumbayá (Liga Pro Serie B) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Modelo Alberto Spencer.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
