Value bet: Al Nasar to win @ 2.08 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Nasar to win ✓52% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.68
Al Jahra vs Al Nasar preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Al Jahra take on Al Nasar on Thursday 14 May, kicking off at 15:40 (WAT). Al Jahra are 9th with 7 points from 8 games (in the bottom half), while Al Nasar sit 5th on 13 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.0 for Al Jahra and 1.5 for Al Nasar. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Jahra 26%, draw 22%, Al Nasar 52%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Al Nasar to win at 2.08 – 52% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Al Jahra 0–1 Al Nasar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Jahra26%fair 3.82 · @3.25
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.30
Al Nasar52%fair 1.92 · @2.08
2.54Expected goals
0.99Al Jahra xG
1.55Al Nasar xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
1–112%
0–29%
1–29%
0–08%
1–08%
From our goals model: Al Jahra 1.0 – 1.5 Al Nasar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Nasar to win✓
52%
1.92
2.08 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Nasar / FT Al Nasar✓
30%
3.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.68
–
Form
Al Jahra – last 2
LD
24 Feb
@ Al Tadhamon
1–4
L
13 Feb
@ Al Tadhamon
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Al Nasar – last 2
LW
27 Feb
@ Al Kuwait
0–3
L
22 Feb
vs Al Fahaheel
4–2
W
2.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Jahra and Al Nasar.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Al Jahra vs Al Nasar?
On our numbers Al Jahra have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Al Nasar 52%.
How many goals will there be in Al Jahra vs Al Nasar?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Jahra vs Al Nasar?
Our predicted score is Al Jahra 0–1 Al Nasar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Al Jahra vs Al Nasar?
Al Jahra vs Al Nasar (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 15:40 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
