Birmingham City W vs Manchester City W prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 2.38 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
2.38Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultManchester City W to win ✓79% · @1.07
Double chanceManchester City W or draw ✓94% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @2.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–4 ✗6% · fair 17.84
Birmingham City W vs Manchester City W preview and prediction
The match
Manchester City W travel to face Birmingham City W in the FA Women's Cup on Monday 6 April (17:00 WAT).
Form guide
Birmingham City W's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Sunderland W 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Manchester City W's last 3: DWW Most recently they drew with Aston Villa W 0–0 away. They are scoring freely – 3.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 6.4 goals: 1.8 for Birmingham City W and 4.6 for Manchester City W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 95% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Birmingham City W 6%, draw 15%, Manchester City W 79%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 2.38.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 2.38, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Birmingham City W 1–4 Manchester City W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Birmingham City W6%fair 17.94 · @19.00
Draw15%fair 6.67 · @11.00
Manchester City W79%fair 1.26 · @1.07
6.40Expected goals
1.78Birmingham City W xG
4.62Manchester City W xG
65%Both score
95%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–46%
1–76%
1–55%
2–45%
2–75%
1–35%
From our goals model: Birmingham City W 1.8 – 4.6 Manchester City W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Manchester City W to win✓
79%
1.26
1.07
Double chance
Manchester City W or draw✓
94%
1.06
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.55
2.38 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
99%
1.01
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
95%
1.05
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
88%
1.13
–
Half-time result
Manchester City W ahead at half-time✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Manchester City W / FT Manchester City W✓
62%
1.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–4✗
6%
17.84
–
Form
Birmingham City W – last 6
WWWLWL
1 Apr
vs Sunderland W
1–0
W
29 Mar
@ Bristol City W
1–0
W
22 Mar
vs Sheffield United W
2–1
W
18 Mar
@ Newcastle United W
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ Southampton W
1–0
W
16 Feb
vs Crystal Palace W
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Manchester City W – last 3
DWW
15 Mar
@ Aston Villa W
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Sheffield United W
4–0
W
13 Feb
vs Leicester City WFC
6–0
W
3.3Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Birmingham City W and Manchester City W.
What is the prediction for Birmingham City W vs Manchester City W?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.38.
Who will win Birmingham City W vs Manchester City W?
On our numbers Birmingham City W have a 6% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Manchester City W 79%.
How many goals will there be in Birmingham City W vs Manchester City W?
We expect about 6.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 95% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Birmingham City W vs Manchester City W?
Our predicted score is Birmingham City W 1–4 Manchester City W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 6.4 goals in total.
When is Birmingham City W vs Manchester City W?
Birmingham City W vs Manchester City W (FA Women's Cup) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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