Value bet: Boeung Ket to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBoeung Ket to win ✓39% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.14
Boeung Ket vs Phnom Penh Crown preview and prediction
The match
Boeung Ket host Phnom Penh Crown in the C League on Sunday 3 May, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at National Olympic Stadium. Boeung Ket are 7th with 7 points from 6 games (in the bottom half), while Phnom Penh Crown sit 9th on 6 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Boeung Ket's last 5: DDDWW Most recently they drew with Svay Rieng 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Phnom Penh Crown's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Angkor Tiger 2–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Boeung Ket arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished Phnom Penh Crown 1–2 Boeung Ket.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Boeung Ket and 1.4 for Phnom Penh Crown. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 51%.
Value angle: Boeung Ket to win at 2.75 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 53% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Boeung Ket 2–1 Phnom Penh Crown. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Boeung Ket39%fair 2.54 · @2.75
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.50
Phnom Penh Crown38%fair 2.60 · @2.15
2.73Expected goals
1.37Boeung Ket xG
1.35Phnom Penh Crown xG
51%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Boeung Ket 1.4 – 1.4 Phnom Penh Crown expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Boeung Ket vs Phnom Penh Crown?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Boeung Ket vs Phnom Penh Crown?
On our numbers Boeung Ket have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Phnom Penh Crown 38%.
How many goals will there be in Boeung Ket vs Phnom Penh Crown?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Boeung Ket vs Phnom Penh Crown?
Our predicted score is Boeung Ket 2–1 Phnom Penh Crown, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Boeung Ket vs Phnom Penh Crown?
Boeung Ket vs Phnom Penh Crown (C League) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at National Olympic Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
