Phnom Penh Crown vs Boeung Ket prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Phnom Penh Crown or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
1
Value bet: Phnom Penh Crown to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPhnom Penh Crown to win ✗56% · @1.91
Double chancePhnom Penh Crown or draw ✗79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.82
Phnom Penh Crown vs Boeung Ket preview and prediction
The match
Boeung Ket travel to RSN Stadium in the C League on Sunday 15 March (12:00 WAT) to face Phnom Penh Crown. Phnom Penh Crown are 9th with 6 points from 6 games (in the bottom three), while Boeung Ket sit 7th on 7 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Phnom Penh Crown's last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to Svay Rieng 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Boeung Ket's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat National Defense 2–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.6 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Boeung Ket arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for Phnom Penh Crown and 1.0 for Boeung Ket. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 48%.
Safer route: Phnom Penh Crown or draw (79%) at 1.28.
Value angle: Phnom Penh Crown to win at 1.91 – 56% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Phnom Penh Crown or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Phnom Penh Crown 1–0 Boeung Ket. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Phnom Penh Crown56%fair 1.78 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.60
Boeung Ket21%fair 4.86 · @3.20
2.75Expected goals
1.78Phnom Penh Crown xG
0.97Boeung Ket xG
48%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Phnom Penh Crown 1.8 – 1.0 Boeung Ket expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Phnom Penh Crown to win✗
56%
1.78
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Phnom Penh Crown or draw✗
79%
1.26
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.87
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Phnom Penh Crown ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Phnom Penh Crown / FT Phnom Penh Crown✗
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.82
–
Form
Phnom Penh Crown – last 6
LLLDDW
12 Mar
@ Svay Rieng
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs Kompong Dewa
1–2
L
5 Mar
vs Svay Rieng
1–4
L
28 Feb
@ Angkor Tiger
0–0
D
25 Feb
@ Dangkor Senchey
2–2
D
21 Feb
vs Visakha
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Boeung Ket – last 5
WDWWL
11 Mar
vs National Defense
2–0
W
8 Mar
vs Angkor Tiger
1–1
D
4 Mar
@ National Defense
2–0
W
28 Feb
vs NagaWorld
1–0
W
14 Feb
@ NagaWorld
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Phnom Penh Crown and Boeung Ket.
What is the prediction for Phnom Penh Crown vs Boeung Ket?
Our pick is Phnom Penh Crown or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Phnom Penh Crown vs Boeung Ket?
On our numbers Phnom Penh Crown have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Boeung Ket 21%.
How many goals will there be in Phnom Penh Crown vs Boeung Ket?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Phnom Penh Crown vs Boeung Ket?
Our predicted score is Phnom Penh Crown 1–0 Boeung Ket, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Phnom Penh Crown vs Boeung Ket?
Phnom Penh Crown vs Boeung Ket (C League) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at RSN Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
