Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSergipe to win ✗45% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.00
América SE vs Sergipe preview and prediction
The match
Sergipe travel to face América SE in the Sergipano on Friday 27 February (00:15 WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.9 for América SE and 1.2 for Sergipe. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: América SE 33%, draw 23%, Sergipe 45%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: América SE 0–1 Sergipe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
América SE33%fair 3.04 · @2.88
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.00
Sergipe45%fair 2.24 · @2.30
2.10Expected goals
0.93América SE xG
1.16Sergipe xG
45%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: América SE 0.9 – 1.2 Sergipe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sergipe to win✗
45%
2.24
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sergipe / FT Sergipe✗
23%
4.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.00
–
Form
América SE – last 1
W
22 Feb
@ Lagarto
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Sergipe
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between América SE and Sergipe.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win América SE vs Sergipe?
On our numbers América SE have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sergipe 45%.
How many goals will there be in América SE vs Sergipe?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for América SE vs Sergipe?
Our predicted score is América SE 0–1 Sergipe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is América SE vs Sergipe?
América SE vs Sergipe (Sergipano) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sergipano · Brazil
