Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
1
Value bet: Criciuma U20 to win @ 1.91 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCriciuma U20 to win ✓62% · @1.91
Double chanceCriciuma U20 or draw ✓81% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.46
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.48
Criciuma U20 vs Grêmio U20 preview and prediction
The match
The Brasileiro U20 A sees Criciuma U20 take on Grêmio U20 on Wednesday 1 July, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Criciuma U20's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Vasco da Gama U20 2–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Grêmio U20's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Internacional U20 2–4 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Criciuma U20 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.3 for Criciuma U20 and 1.2 for Grêmio U20. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Criciuma U20 to win at 1.91 – 62% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Criciuma U20 or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.23, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Criciuma U20 2–1 Grêmio U20. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Criciuma U2062%fair 1.62 · @1.91
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @3.25
Grêmio U2019%fair 5.31 · @3.30
3.53Expected goals
2.31Criciuma U20 xG
1.22Grêmio U20 xG
64%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: Criciuma U20 2.3 – 1.2 Grêmio U20 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Criciuma U20 to win✓
62%
1.62
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Criciuma U20 or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.30 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Criciuma U20 ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Criciuma U20 / FT Criciuma U20✗
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.48
–
Form
Criciuma U20 – last 6
WLLWLW
25 Jun
@ Vasco da Gama U20
2–1
W
20 Jun
@ Cuiabá U20
1–2
L
16 Jun
vs Palmeiras U20
0–6
L
13 Jun
@ Figueirense U20
1–0
W
10 Jun
@ Botafogo U20
0–2
L
5 Jun
vs Joinville U20
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Grêmio U20 – last 6
LWWLLL
27 Jun
@ Internacional U20
2–4
L
23 Jun
vs Bahia U20
4–0
W
20 Jun
vs Fortaleza U20
2–1
W
17 Jun
@ Botafogo U20
0–1
L
14 Jun
vs Internacional U20
0–1
L
10 Jun
vs Fluminense U20
0–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Criciuma U20 and Grêmio U20.
What is the prediction for Criciuma U20 vs Grêmio U20?
Our pick is Criciuma U20 or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Criciuma U20 vs Grêmio U20?
On our numbers Criciuma U20 have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Grêmio U20 19%.
How many goals will there be in Criciuma U20 vs Grêmio U20?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Criciuma U20 vs Grêmio U20?
Our predicted score is Criciuma U20 2–1 Grêmio U20, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Criciuma U20 vs Grêmio U20?
Criciuma U20 vs Grêmio U20 (Brasileiro U20 A) kicks off on Wednesday 1 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Brasileiro U20 A · Brazil
Bahia U203
Cruzeiro U201
Botafogo U203
Fluminense U202
Flamengo U202
Avaí U202
Juventude U201
Corinthians U200
Palmeiras U201
Cuiabá U203
Santos U200
São Paulo U203