Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Santos U20 to win @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSantos U20 to win ✗63% · @1.80
Double chanceSantos U20 or draw ✗84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.64
Santos U20 vs Bahia U20 preview and prediction
The match
Bahia U20 travel to face Santos U20 in the Brasileiro U20 A on Saturday 20 June (19:00 WAT).
Form guide
Santos U20's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat América Mineiro U20 3–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Bahia U20's last 5: DWLDW Most recently they drew with Vasco da Gama U20 1–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Santos U20 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Santos U20 and 1.0 for Bahia U20. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Santos U20 to win at 1.80 – 63% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Santos U20 or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Santos U20 2–0 Bahia U20. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Santos U2063%fair 1.59 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.40
Bahia U2016%fair 6.18 · @3.60
3.03Expected goals
2.07Santos U20 xG
0.96Bahia U20 xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Santos U20 2.1 – 1.0 Bahia U20 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santos U20 to win✗
63%
1.59
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Santos U20 or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Santos U20 ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santos U20 / FT Santos U20✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.64
–
Form
Santos U20 – last 6
WWDWDL
16 Jun
@ América Mineiro U20
3–1
W
12 Jun
vs Jabaquara U20
1–0
W
11 Jun
@ Palmeiras U20
2–2
D
30 May
@ Sertãozinho U20
3–0
W
27 May
vs Botafogo U20
1–1
D
22 May
@ Flamengo U20
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Bahia U20 – last 6
DWLDWL
17 Jun
vs Vasco da Gama U20
1–1
D
13 Jun
vs Juazeirense U20
7–1
W
10 Jun
@ Juventude U20
1–3
L
27 May
@ Criciuma U20
1–1
D
21 May
vs Fortaleza U20
3–2
W
18 May
vs Athletico PR U20
1–2
L
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santos U20 and Bahia U20.
What is the prediction for Santos U20 vs Bahia U20?
Our pick is Santos U20 or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Santos U20 vs Bahia U20?
On our numbers Santos U20 have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bahia U20 16%.
How many goals will there be in Santos U20 vs Bahia U20?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santos U20 vs Bahia U20?
Our predicted score is Santos U20 2–0 Bahia U20, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Santos U20 vs Bahia U20?
Santos U20 vs Bahia U20 (Brasileiro U20 A) kicks off on Saturday 20 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Brasileiro U20 A · Brazil
Avaí U201
Juventude U203
Cruzeiro U201
Corinthians U202
Grêmio U202
Fortaleza U201
Palmeiras U207
América Mineiro U201