Bate Borisov travel to Dzerzhinsk City Stadium in the Premier League on Friday 30 October (16:00 WAT) to face Arsenal. Arsenal are 12th with 27 points from 28 games (in the bottom half), while Bate Borisov sit 14th on 24 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Arsenal's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with FC Dnepr Mogilev 0–0 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bate Borisov's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Belshina 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 June 2026, finished Bate Borisov 2–3 Arsenal.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Arsenal and 1.3 for Bate Borisov. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arsenal 34%, draw 22%, Bate Borisov 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.82.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Arsenal 1–1 Bate Borisov. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arsenal34%fair 2.97 · @3.12
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.12
Bate Borisov44%fair 2.28 · @2.30
2.39Expected goals
1.09Arsenal xG
1.30Bate Borisov xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Arsenal 1.1 – 1.3 Bate Borisov expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Arsenal vs Bate Borisov?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Arsenal vs Bate Borisov?
On our numbers Arsenal have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bate Borisov 44%.
How many goals will there be in Arsenal vs Bate Borisov?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Bate Borisov?
Our predicted score is Arsenal 1–1 Bate Borisov, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Arsenal vs Bate Borisov?
Arsenal vs Bate Borisov (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Dzerzhinsk City Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
