Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultML Vitebsk to win ✓65% · @1.80
Double chanceML Vitebsk or draw ✓84% · @1.19
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 6.96
ML Vitebsk vs Neman preview and prediction
The match
ML Vitebsk host Neman in the Premier League on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Vitebsk CSK. ML Vitebsk are 1st with 62 points from 28 games (top of the table), while Neman sit 5th on 49 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
ML Vitebsk's last 5: WWWDD Most recently they beat Torpedo Zhodino 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Neman's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Bate Borisov 2–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Neman arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 2.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 30 May 2026, finished Neman 1–2 ML Vitebsk.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for ML Vitebsk and 0.7 for Neman. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: ML Vitebsk 65%, draw 19%, Neman 16%.
Safer route: ML Vitebsk or draw (84%) at 1.19.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.84.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was ML Vitebsk to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: ML Vitebsk 1–0 Neman. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ML Vitebsk65%fair 1.54 · @1.80
Draw19%fair 5.14 · @3.48
Neman16%fair 6.39 · @4.30
2.54Expected goals
1.82ML Vitebsk xG
0.72Neman xG
49%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: ML Vitebsk 1.8 – 0.7 Neman expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is ML Vitebsk to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win ML Vitebsk vs Neman?
On our numbers ML Vitebsk have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Neman 16%.
How many goals will there be in ML Vitebsk vs Neman?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ML Vitebsk vs Neman?
Our predicted score is ML Vitebsk 1–0 Neman, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is ML Vitebsk vs Neman?
ML Vitebsk vs Neman (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Vitebsk CSK.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
