FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Bate Borisov prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
FC Dnepr Mogilev or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.24 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.24Odds
1
Value bet: FC Dnepr Mogilev to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Dnepr Mogilev to win ✓60% · @1.95
Double chanceFC Dnepr Mogilev or draw ✓83% · @1.24
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.58
FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Bate Borisov preview and prediction
The match
FC Dnepr Mogilev host Bate Borisov in the Premier League on Sunday 18 October, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Spartak Stadium. FC Dnepr Mogilev are 15th with 23 points from 28 games (in the bottom three), while Bate Borisov sit 14th on 24 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
FC Dnepr Mogilev's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Dinamo Minsk 2–3 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Bate Borisov's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Neman 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 31 May 2026, finished Bate Borisov 1–1 FC Dnepr Mogilev.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for FC Dnepr Mogilev and 0.7 for Bate Borisov. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 47%.
Safer route: FC Dnepr Mogilev or draw (83%) at 1.24.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.84.
Value angle: FC Dnepr Mogilev to win at 1.95 – 60% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC Dnepr Mogilev or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.24, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC Dnepr Mogilev 1–0 Bate Borisov. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Dnepr Mogilev60%fair 1.66 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.34
Bate Borisov17%fair 5.76 · @3.80
2.39Expected goals
1.65FC Dnepr Mogilev xG
0.73Bate Borisov xG
47%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: FC Dnepr Mogilev 1.7 – 0.7 Bate Borisov expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Bate Borisov?
Our pick is FC Dnepr Mogilev or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Bate Borisov?
On our numbers FC Dnepr Mogilev have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bate Borisov 17%.
How many goals will there be in FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Bate Borisov?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Bate Borisov?
Our predicted score is FC Dnepr Mogilev 1–0 Bate Borisov, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Bate Borisov?
FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Bate Borisov (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Spartak Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
