Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.54
ML Vitebsk vs Torpedo Zhodino preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees ML Vitebsk take on Torpedo Zhodino on Thursday 15 October, kicking off at 18:30 (WAT) at Tikhinichi Sportcomplex. ML Vitebsk are 1st with 62 points from 28 games (top of the table), while Torpedo Zhodino sit 8th on 36 points (in the top half). A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
ML Vitebsk's last 5: WWDDD Most recently they beat FC Gomel 5–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Torpedo Zhodino's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat FC Minsk 1–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
ML Vitebsk arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for ML Vitebsk and 0.7 for Torpedo Zhodino. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: ML Vitebsk 64%, draw 23%, Torpedo Zhodino 12%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.27. Predicted score: ML Vitebsk 2–0 Torpedo Zhodino. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ML Vitebsk64%fair 1.55 · @1.40
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @4.20
Torpedo Zhodino12%fair 8.08 · @8.20
2.68Expected goals
1.94ML Vitebsk xG
0.74Torpedo Zhodino xG
49%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: ML Vitebsk 1.9 – 0.7 Torpedo Zhodino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ML Vitebsk to win✓
64%
1.55
1.40
Double chance
ML Vitebsk or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.05
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.27
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.28
Half-time result
ML Vitebsk ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ML Vitebsk / FT ML Vitebsk✓
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.54
–
Form
ML Vitebsk – last 6
WWDDDW
11 Oct
@ FC Gomel
5–1
W
18 Sep
vs Arsenal
5–1
W
13 Sep
@ FC Dnepr Mogilev
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Dinamo Minsk
0–0
D
2 Sep
vs Belshina
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Dinamo Brest
3–1
W
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Torpedo Zhodino – last 6
WLLLLW
10 Oct
@ FC Minsk
1–0
W
3 Oct
vs Torpedo Moskva
1–2
L
20 Sep
@ FC Vitebsk
0–6
L
12 Sep
@ Neman
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs FC Gomel
1–2
L
30 Aug
@ Arsenal
4–2
W
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ML Vitebsk and Torpedo Zhodino.
What is the prediction for ML Vitebsk vs Torpedo Zhodino?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win ML Vitebsk vs Torpedo Zhodino?
On our numbers ML Vitebsk have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Torpedo Zhodino 12%.
How many goals will there be in ML Vitebsk vs Torpedo Zhodino?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ML Vitebsk vs Torpedo Zhodino?
Our predicted score is ML Vitebsk 2–0 Torpedo Zhodino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is ML Vitebsk vs Torpedo Zhodino?
ML Vitebsk vs Torpedo Zhodino (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Tikhinichi Sportcomplex.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
