Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Neman to win @ 1.88 – our chance 65% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNeman to win ✓65% · @1.88
Double chanceNeman or draw ✓88% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.76
Bate Borisov vs Neman preview and prediction
The match
Neman travel to Borisov Arena in the Premier League on Wednesday 14 October (17:00 WAT) to face Bate Borisov. Bate Borisov are 14th with 24 points from 28 games (in the bottom three), while Neman sit 5th on 49 points (in the top half). A gap of 25 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Bate Borisov's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Slavia Mozyr 2–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Neman's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Baranovichi 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Neman arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 March 2026, finished Neman 0–0 Bate Borisov.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.6 for Bate Borisov and 1.7 for Neman. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 48%.
Value angle: Neman to win at 1.88 – 65% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Neman or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Bate Borisov 0–1 Neman. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bate Borisov12%fair 8.17 · @4.15
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.32
Neman65%fair 1.53 · @1.88
2.29Expected goals
0.58Bate Borisov xG
1.71Neman xG
48%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–215%
0–010%
1–110%
1–29%
0–38%
From our goals model: Bate Borisov 0.6 – 1.7 Neman expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Neman or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Bate Borisov vs Neman?
On our numbers Bate Borisov have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Neman 65%.
How many goals will there be in Bate Borisov vs Neman?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bate Borisov vs Neman?
Our predicted score is Bate Borisov 0–1 Neman, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Bate Borisov vs Neman?
Bate Borisov vs Neman (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Borisov Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
