Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: ML Vitebsk to win @ 1.89 – our chance 62% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultML Vitebsk to win ✗62% · @1.89
Double chanceML Vitebsk or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.42
ML Vitebsk vs Belshina preview and prediction
The match
Belshina travel to Vitebsk CSK in the Premier League on Wednesday 2 September (16:30 WAT) to face ML Vitebsk. ML Vitebsk are 1st with 62 points from 28 games (top of the table), while Belshina sit 13th on 24 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 38 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
ML Vitebsk's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Dinamo Brest 3–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Belshina's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to FC Gomel 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
ML Vitebsk arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for ML Vitebsk and 0.8 for Belshina. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: ML Vitebsk 62%, draw 24%, Belshina 14%.
Safer route: ML Vitebsk or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.62.
Value angle: ML Vitebsk to win at 1.89 – 62% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was ML Vitebsk or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: ML Vitebsk 1–0 Belshina. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ML Vitebsk62%fair 1.61 · @1.89
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.30
Belshina14%fair 7.02 · @4.07
2.80Expected goals
1.95ML Vitebsk xG
0.85Belshina xG
56%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: ML Vitebsk 2.0 – 0.8 Belshina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ML Vitebsk to win✗
62%
1.61
1.89 ▲
Double chance
ML Vitebsk or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.72
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.40
Half-time result
ML Vitebsk ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ML Vitebsk / FT ML Vitebsk✗
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.42
–
Form
ML Vitebsk – last 6
WDWWLW
29 Aug
@ Dinamo Brest
3–1
W
23 Aug
vs Bate Borisov
0–0
D
19 Aug
vs Baranovichi
2–0
W
13 Aug
vs Borac Banja Luka
1–0
W
6 Aug
@ Borac Banja Luka
0–1
L
30 Jul
@ Sutjeska
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Belshina – last 6
LWDLLW
28 Aug
@ FC Gomel
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Arsenal
2–0
W
14 Aug
@ FC Dnepr Mogilev
1–1
D
2 Aug
@ Dinamo Brest
0–4
L
25 Jul
vs FC Minsk
1–2
L
19 Jul
@ Viktoriya Maryina Horka
8–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ML Vitebsk and Belshina.
What is the prediction for ML Vitebsk vs Belshina?
Our pick is ML Vitebsk or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win ML Vitebsk vs Belshina?
On our numbers ML Vitebsk have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Belshina 14%.
How many goals will there be in ML Vitebsk vs Belshina?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ML Vitebsk vs Belshina?
Our predicted score is ML Vitebsk 1–0 Belshina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is ML Vitebsk vs Belshina?
ML Vitebsk vs Belshina (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Vitebsk CSK.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
