FC Gomel vs FC Dnepr Mogilev preview and prediction
The match
FC Dnepr Mogilev travel to Centralnyj Stadion in the Premier League on Saturday 20 June (18:30 WAT) to face FC Gomel. FC Gomel are 6th with 43 points from 28 games (in the top half), while FC Dnepr Mogilev sit 15th on 23 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FC Gomel's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Dinamo Minsk 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FC Dnepr Mogilev's last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to Arsenal 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
FC Gomel arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.9 for FC Gomel and 0.5 for FC Dnepr Mogilev. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Gomel 69%, draw 22%, FC Dnepr Mogilev 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.05.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC Gomel to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.45, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC Gomel 1–0 FC Dnepr Mogilev. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Gomel69%fair 1.45 · @1.53
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.50
FC Dnepr Mogilev9%fair 11.33 · @6.00
2.41Expected goals
1.88FC Gomel xG
0.53FC Dnepr Mogilev xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–016%
3–010%
1–19%
0–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: FC Gomel 1.9 – 0.5 FC Dnepr Mogilev expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Gomel to win✓
69%
1.45
1.53 ▲
Double chance
FC Gomel or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Half-time result
FC Gomel ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Gomel / FT FC Gomel✓
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.93
–
Form
FC Gomel – last 6
LWDLWW
13 Jun
@ Dinamo Minsk
1–2
L
30 May
vs Dinamo Brest
2–1
W
22 May
@ ML Vitebsk
0–0
D
14 May
vs Baranovichi
2–3
L
8 May
vs FC Isloch Minsk R.
2–0
W
26 Apr
@ Belshina
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FC Dnepr Mogilev – last 6
LDLDLD
14 Jun
vs Arsenal
0–1
L
31 May
@ Bate Borisov
1–1
D
24 May
@ Dinamo Minsk
1–3
L
17 May
vs Dinamo Brest
1–1
D
26 Apr
@ FC Isloch Minsk R.
1–2
L
20 Apr
vs Torpedo Zhodino
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Gomel and FC Dnepr Mogilev.
What is the prediction for FC Gomel vs FC Dnepr Mogilev?
Our pick is FC Gomel to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win FC Gomel vs FC Dnepr Mogilev?
On our numbers FC Gomel have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FC Dnepr Mogilev 9%.
How many goals will there be in FC Gomel vs FC Dnepr Mogilev?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Gomel vs FC Dnepr Mogilev?
Our predicted score is FC Gomel 1–0 FC Dnepr Mogilev, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is FC Gomel vs FC Dnepr Mogilev?
FC Gomel vs FC Dnepr Mogilev (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 20 June 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Centralnyj Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.