The Premier League sees Bate Borisov take on Arsenal on Sunday 21 June, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Borisov Arena. Bate Borisov are 14th with 24 points from 28 games (in the bottom three), while Arsenal sit 12th on 27 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Bate Borisov's last 5: WDDDD Most recently they beat Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 4–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Arsenal's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat FC Dnepr Mogilev 1–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for Bate Borisov and 0.9 for Arsenal. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bate Borisov 45%, draw 23%, Arsenal 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.86, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Bate Borisov 1–1 Arsenal. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bate Borisov45%fair 2.20 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @2.90
Arsenal31%fair 3.21 · @3.00
2.05Expected goals
1.16Bate Borisov xG
0.89Arsenal xG
54%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Bate Borisov 1.2 – 0.9 Arsenal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bate Borisov to win✗
45%
2.20
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bate Borisov / FT Bate Borisov✗
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.68
–
Form
Bate Borisov – last 6
WDDDDD
17 Jun
@ Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
4–1
W
12 Jun
@ Belshina
1–1
D
31 May
vs FC Dnepr Mogilev
1–1
D
24 May
@ Slavia Mozyr
1–1
D
20 May
vs Dinamo Minsk
0–0
D
10 May
@ Naftan
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Arsenal – last 6
WLLDDW
14 Jun
@ FC Dnepr Mogilev
1–0
W
30 May
vs Dinamo Minsk
0–1
L
17 May
vs ML Vitebsk
0–3
L
8 May
@ Baranovichi
1–1
D
1 May
vs FC Isloch Minsk R.
2–2
D
20 Apr
vs Belshina
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bate Borisov and Arsenal.
What is the prediction for Bate Borisov vs Arsenal?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Bate Borisov vs Arsenal?
On our numbers Bate Borisov have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Arsenal 31%.
How many goals will there be in Bate Borisov vs Arsenal?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bate Borisov vs Arsenal?
Our predicted score is Bate Borisov 1–1 Arsenal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Bate Borisov vs Arsenal?
Bate Borisov vs Arsenal (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Borisov Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
