Value bet: Belshina to win @ 3.40 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBate Borisov to win ✗43% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.58
Belshina vs Bate Borisov preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Belshina take on Bate Borisov on Friday 12 June, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Spartak Stadium. Belshina are 13th with 24 points from 28 games (in the bottom half), while Bate Borisov sit 14th on 24 points (in the bottom three). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Belshina's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Slavia Mozyr 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Bate Borisov's last 5: DDDDW Most recently they drew with FC Dnepr Mogilev 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.0 for Belshina and 1.2 for Bate Borisov. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Belshina to win at 3.40 – 34% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Belshina 0–1 Bate Borisov. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Belshina34%fair 2.92 · @3.40
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.00
Bate Borisov43%fair 2.31 · @2.05
2.20Expected goals
1.01Belshina xG
1.19Bate Borisov xG
49%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Belshina 1.0 – 1.2 Bate Borisov expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bate Borisov to win✗
43%
2.31
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bate Borisov / FT Bate Borisov✗
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.58
–
Form
Belshina – last 6
LWLLLW
31 May
@ Slavia Mozyr
1–2
L
23 May
vs Naftan
5–1
W
26 Apr
vs FC Gomel
0–2
L
20 Apr
@ Arsenal
0–2
L
10 Apr
vs FC Dnepr Mogilev
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs Dinamo Brest
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Bate Borisov – last 6
DDDDWL
31 May
vs FC Dnepr Mogilev
1–1
D
24 May
@ Slavia Mozyr
1–1
D
20 May
vs Dinamo Minsk
0–0
D
10 May
@ Naftan
0–0
D
29 Apr
vs Slavia Mozyr
2–0
W
24 Apr
@ FC Minsk
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Belshina and Bate Borisov.
What is the prediction for Belshina vs Bate Borisov?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Belshina vs Bate Borisov?
On our numbers Belshina have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bate Borisov 43%.
How many goals will there be in Belshina vs Bate Borisov?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Belshina vs Bate Borisov?
Our predicted score is Belshina 0–1 Bate Borisov, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Belshina vs Bate Borisov?
Belshina vs Bate Borisov (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 12 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Spartak Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
