Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultML Vitebsk to win ✓64% · @1.75
Double chanceML Vitebsk or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.59
Neman vs ML Vitebsk preview and prediction
The match
Neman host ML Vitebsk in the Premier League on Saturday 30 May, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stadion Neman. Neman are 5th with 49 points from 28 games (in the top half), while ML Vitebsk sit 1st on 62 points (top of the table). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Neman's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Baranovichi 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
ML Vitebsk's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with FC Gomel 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Neman arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.6 for Neman and 1.6 for ML Vitebsk. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Neman 17%, draw 20%, ML Vitebsk 64%.
Safer route: ML Vitebsk or draw (83%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was ML Vitebsk to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Neman 0–1 ML Vitebsk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Neman17%fair 5.95 · @4.20
Draw20%fair 5.09 · @3.30
ML Vitebsk64%fair 1.57 · @1.75
2.17Expected goals
0.60Neman xG
1.57ML Vitebsk xG
47%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–118%
0–214%
0–011%
1–111%
1–28%
0–37%
From our goals model: Neman 0.6 – 1.6 ML Vitebsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ML Vitebsk to win✓
64%
1.57
1.75 ▲
Double chance
ML Vitebsk or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ML Vitebsk / FT ML Vitebsk✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.59
–
Form
Neman – last 6
WDWWDW
24 May
@ Baranovichi
2–1
W
24 Apr
@ Slavia Mozyr
0–0
D
10 Apr
@ FC Minsk
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs FC Vitebsk
2–0
W
21 Mar
vs Bate Borisov
0–0
D
14 Mar
vs Niva
7–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
ML Vitebsk – last 6
DWLWLW
22 May
vs FC Gomel
0–0
D
17 May
@ Arsenal
3–0
W
29 Apr
@ Dinamo Minsk
0–1
L
19 Apr
@ Bate Borisov
2–1
W
15 Apr
vs Dinamo Minsk
0–2
L
15 Mar
vs Dinamo Brest
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Neman and ML Vitebsk.
Our pick is ML Vitebsk to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Neman vs ML Vitebsk?
On our numbers Neman have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 20% and ML Vitebsk 64%.
How many goals will there be in Neman vs ML Vitebsk?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Neman vs ML Vitebsk?
Our predicted score is Neman 0–1 ML Vitebsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Neman vs ML Vitebsk?
Neman vs ML Vitebsk (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Neman.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
