Bate Borisov vs FC Dnepr Mogilev preview and prediction
The match
Bate Borisov host FC Dnepr Mogilev in the Premier League on Sunday 31 May, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Borisov Arena. Bate Borisov are 14th with 24 points from 28 games (in the bottom three), while FC Dnepr Mogilev sit 15th on 23 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Bate Borisov's last 5: DDDWL Most recently they drew with Slavia Mozyr 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FC Dnepr Mogilev's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to Dinamo Minsk 1–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Bate Borisov and 1.2 for FC Dnepr Mogilev. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 55%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.27. Predicted score: Bate Borisov 1–1 FC Dnepr Mogilev. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bate Borisov40%fair 2.53 · @2.34
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.55
FC Dnepr Mogilev38%fair 2.64 · @2.75
2.33Expected goals
1.18Bate Borisov xG
1.15FC Dnepr Mogilev xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Bate Borisov 1.2 – 1.2 FC Dnepr Mogilev expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bate Borisov to win✗
40%
2.53
2.34
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.27
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.69
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.24
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.88
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.27
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bate Borisov / FT Bate Borisov✗
21%
4.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.72
–
Form
Bate Borisov – last 6
DDDWLL
24 May
@ Slavia Mozyr
1–1
D
20 May
vs Dinamo Minsk
0–0
D
10 May
@ Naftan
0–0
D
29 Apr
vs Slavia Mozyr
2–0
W
24 Apr
@ FC Minsk
0–1
L
19 Apr
vs ML Vitebsk
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
FC Dnepr Mogilev – last 6
LDLDWL
24 May
@ Dinamo Minsk
1–3
L
17 May
vs Dinamo Brest
1–1
D
26 Apr
@ FC Isloch Minsk R.
1–2
L
20 Apr
vs Torpedo Zhodino
2–2
D
10 Apr
@ Belshina
2–1
W
5 Apr
vs Slavia Mozyr
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bate Borisov and FC Dnepr Mogilev.
What is the prediction for Bate Borisov vs FC Dnepr Mogilev?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Bate Borisov vs FC Dnepr Mogilev?
On our numbers Bate Borisov have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC Dnepr Mogilev 38%.
How many goals will there be in Bate Borisov vs FC Dnepr Mogilev?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bate Borisov vs FC Dnepr Mogilev?
Our predicted score is Bate Borisov 1–1 FC Dnepr Mogilev, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Bate Borisov vs FC Dnepr Mogilev?
Bate Borisov vs FC Dnepr Mogilev (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Borisov Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.