Value bet: FC Minsk to win @ 3.62 – our chance 32% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTorpedo Zhodino to win ✓44% · @2.23
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.39
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.80
Torpedo Zhodino vs FC Minsk preview and prediction
The match
FC Minsk travel to Stadion Torpedo in the Premier League on Saturday 23 May (16:00 WAT) to face Torpedo Zhodino. Torpedo Zhodino are 8th with 36 points from 28 games (in the top half), while FC Minsk sit 9th on 35 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Torpedo Zhodino's last 4: DDWW Most recently they drew with FC Vitebsk 1–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FC Minsk's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Slavia Mozyr 2–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Torpedo Zhodino and 1.1 for FC Minsk. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 56%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Torpedo Zhodino 44%, draw 24%, FC Minsk 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.90.
Value angle: FC Minsk to win at 3.62 – 32% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.37. Predicted score: Torpedo Zhodino 1–1 FC Minsk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Torpedo Zhodino44%fair 2.28 · @2.23
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @2.88
FC Minsk32%fair 3.11 · @3.62
2.49Expected goals
1.37Torpedo Zhodino xG
1.12FC Minsk xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Torpedo Zhodino 1.4 – 1.1 FC Minsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Torpedo Zhodino to win✓
44%
2.28
2.23
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.39 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.90 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.37
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.61
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Torpedo Zhodino / FT Torpedo Zhodino✓
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.80
–
Form
Torpedo Zhodino – last 4
DDWW
17 May
vs FC Vitebsk
1–1
D
20 Apr
@ FC Dnepr Mogilev
2–2
D
3 Apr
@ Dinamo Brest
2–0
W
7 Mar
vs Bate Borisov
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
FC Minsk – last 6
WWWLWD
9 May
@ Slavia Mozyr
2–1
W
1 May
vs Naftan
4–2
W
24 Apr
vs Bate Borisov
1–0
W
10 Apr
vs Neman
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs FC Gomel
2–0
W
20 Mar
vs Arsenal
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Torpedo Zhodino and FC Minsk.
What is the prediction for Torpedo Zhodino vs FC Minsk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.37.
Who will win Torpedo Zhodino vs FC Minsk?
On our numbers Torpedo Zhodino have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FC Minsk 32%.
How many goals will there be in Torpedo Zhodino vs FC Minsk?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Torpedo Zhodino vs FC Minsk?
Our predicted score is Torpedo Zhodino 1–1 FC Minsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Torpedo Zhodino vs FC Minsk?
Torpedo Zhodino vs FC Minsk (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Torpedo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
