Value bet: Bate Borisov to win @ 3.70 – our chance 32% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSlavia Mozyr to win ✗45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.31
Slavia Mozyr vs Bate Borisov preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Slavia Mozyr take on Bate Borisov on Sunday 24 May, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at Stadion Junost. Slavia Mozyr are 10th with 34 points from 28 games (in the bottom half), while Bate Borisov sit 14th on 24 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Slavia Mozyr's last 5: WLDLD Most recently they beat Naftan 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bate Borisov's last 5: DDWLL Most recently they drew with Dinamo Minsk 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 April 2026, finished Bate Borisov 2–0 Slavia Mozyr. Across their last 2 meetings Slavia Mozyr have won 0, Bate Borisov 2, with 0 draws and 1.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.6 goals: 0.9 for Slavia Mozyr and 0.7 for Bate Borisov. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 79% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Bate Borisov to win at 3.70 – 32% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.80. Predicted score: Slavia Mozyr 1–1 Bate Borisov. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Slavia Mozyr45%fair 2.23 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @2.90
Bate Borisov32%fair 3.17 · @3.70
1.56Expected goals
0.90Slavia Mozyr xG
0.66Bate Borisov xG
52%Both score
21%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–021%
1–019%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: Slavia Mozyr 0.9 – 0.7 Bate Borisov expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Slavia Mozyr vs Bate Borisov?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Slavia Mozyr vs Bate Borisov?
On our numbers Slavia Mozyr have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bate Borisov 32%.
How many goals will there be in Slavia Mozyr vs Bate Borisov?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 21% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Slavia Mozyr vs Bate Borisov?
Our predicted score is Slavia Mozyr 1–1 Bate Borisov, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Slavia Mozyr vs Bate Borisov?
Slavia Mozyr vs Bate Borisov (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Junost.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
