Value bet: Dinamo Minsk to win @ 1.81 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDinamo Minsk to win ✗59% · @1.81
Double chanceDinamo Minsk or draw ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.62
Bate Borisov vs Dinamo Minsk preview and prediction
The match
Dinamo Minsk travel to Borisov Arena in the Premier League on Wednesday 20 May (18:30 WAT) to face Bate Borisov. Bate Borisov are 14th with 24 points from 28 games (in the bottom three), while Dinamo Minsk sit 3rd on 61 points (in the top four). A gap of 37 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Bate Borisov's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Naftan 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Dinamo Minsk's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat ML Vitebsk 1–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Dinamo Minsk arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 February 2026, finished Dinamo Minsk 1–0 Bate Borisov.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.8 for Bate Borisov and 1.7 for Dinamo Minsk. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Dinamo Minsk to win at 1.81 – 59% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Bate Borisov 0–1 Dinamo Minsk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bate Borisov19%fair 5.15 · @4.65
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.28
Dinamo Minsk59%fair 1.71 · @1.81
2.46Expected goals
0.81Bate Borisov xG
1.65Dinamo Minsk xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–09%
1–07%
From our goals model: Bate Borisov 0.8 – 1.7 Dinamo Minsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Bate Borisov vs Dinamo Minsk?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Bate Borisov vs Dinamo Minsk?
On our numbers Bate Borisov have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Dinamo Minsk 59%.
How many goals will there be in Bate Borisov vs Dinamo Minsk?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bate Borisov vs Dinamo Minsk?
Our predicted score is Bate Borisov 0–1 Dinamo Minsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Bate Borisov vs Dinamo Minsk?
Bate Borisov vs Dinamo Minsk (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Borisov Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
