Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Slavia Mozyr to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSlavia Mozyr to win ✗56% · @1.91
Double chanceSlavia Mozyr or draw ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.51
Slavia Mozyr vs FC Minsk preview and prediction
The match
FC Minsk travel to Stadion Junost in the Premier League on Saturday 9 May (12:00 WAT) to face Slavia Mozyr. Slavia Mozyr are 10th with 34 points from 28 games (in the bottom half), while FC Minsk sit 9th on 35 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Slavia Mozyr's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with FC Vitebsk 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FC Minsk's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Naftan 4–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
FC Minsk arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.3 for Slavia Mozyr and 0.7 for FC Minsk. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Slavia Mozyr 56%, draw 24%, FC Minsk 21%.
Safer route: Slavia Mozyr or draw (79%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Slavia Mozyr to win at 1.91 – 56% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Slavia Mozyr or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Slavia Mozyr 1–0 FC Minsk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Slavia Mozyr56%fair 1.80 · @1.91
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.00
FC Minsk21%fair 4.83 · @3.80
2.00Expected goals
1.34Slavia Mozyr xG
0.66FC Minsk xG
49%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
0–014%
2–012%
1–112%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Slavia Mozyr 1.3 – 0.7 FC Minsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Slavia Mozyr to win✗
56%
1.80
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Slavia Mozyr or draw✗
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Slavia Mozyr / FT Slavia Mozyr✗
31%
3.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.51
–
Form
Slavia Mozyr – last 6
DLDLLW
3 May
@ FC Vitebsk
0–0
D
29 Apr
@ Bate Borisov
0–2
L
24 Apr
vs Neman
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ FC Gomel
1–3
L
15 Apr
vs Bate Borisov
0–1
L
5 Apr
@ FC Dnepr Mogilev
1–0
W
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
FC Minsk – last 6
WWLWDL
1 May
vs Naftan
4–2
W
24 Apr
vs Bate Borisov
1–0
W
10 Apr
vs Neman
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs FC Gomel
2–0
W
20 Mar
vs Arsenal
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs FC Gomel
0–4
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Slavia Mozyr and FC Minsk.
What is the prediction for Slavia Mozyr vs FC Minsk?
Our pick is Slavia Mozyr or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Slavia Mozyr vs FC Minsk?
On our numbers Slavia Mozyr have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FC Minsk 21%.
How many goals will there be in Slavia Mozyr vs FC Minsk?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Slavia Mozyr vs FC Minsk?
Our predicted score is Slavia Mozyr 1–0 FC Minsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Slavia Mozyr vs FC Minsk?
Slavia Mozyr vs FC Minsk (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Junost.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.