Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Minsk to win ✓65% · @1.53
Double chanceFC Minsk or draw ✓89% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗24% · fair 4.24
FC Minsk vs Naftan preview and prediction
The match
Naftan travel to Stadion Traktor in the Premier League on Friday 1 May (15:30 WAT) to face FC Minsk. FC Minsk are 9th with 35 points from 28 games (in the bottom half), while Naftan sit 16th on 17 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FC Minsk's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Bate Borisov 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Naftan's last 5: LLDDD Most recently they lost to FC Gomel 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game.
FC Minsk arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.6.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.4 for FC Minsk and 0.4 for Naftan. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Minsk 65%, draw 24%, Naftan 11%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC Minsk to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: FC Minsk 1–0 Naftan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Minsk65%fair 1.54 · @1.53
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.60
Naftan11%fair 9.48 · @5.50
1.80Expected goals
1.43FC Minsk xG
0.37Naftan xG
47%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–024%
2–017%
0–017%
1–19%
3–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: FC Minsk 1.4 – 0.4 Naftan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Minsk to win✓
65%
1.54
1.53
Double chance
FC Minsk or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Minsk / FT FC Minsk✓
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
24%
4.24
–
Form
FC Minsk – last 6
WLWDLL
24 Apr
vs Bate Borisov
1–0
W
10 Apr
vs Neman
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs FC Gomel
2–0
W
20 Mar
vs Arsenal
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs FC Gomel
0–4
L
14 Feb
@ Belshina
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Naftan – last 5
LLDDD
10 Apr
vs FC Gomel
0–2
L
3 Apr
@ Arsenal
0–2
L
22 Mar
vs FC Dnepr Mogilev
0–0
D
7 Mar
vs FC Vitebsk
1–1
D
18 Feb
@ Dinamo Minsk
1–1
D
0.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Minsk and Naftan.
Our pick is FC Minsk to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win FC Minsk vs Naftan?
On our numbers FC Minsk have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Naftan 11%.
How many goals will there be in FC Minsk vs Naftan?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Minsk vs Naftan?
Our predicted score is FC Minsk 1–0 Naftan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is FC Minsk vs Naftan?
FC Minsk vs Naftan (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Traktor.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
