Value bet: Neman to win @ 2.50 – our chance 43% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNeman to win ✗43% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.24
Slavia Mozyr vs Neman preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Slavia Mozyr take on Neman on Friday 24 April, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Stadion Junost. Slavia Mozyr are 10th with 34 points from 28 games (in the bottom half), while Neman sit 5th on 49 points (in the top half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Slavia Mozyr's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to FC Gomel 1–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Neman's last 4: WWDW Most recently they beat FC Minsk 1–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Neman arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 2.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Slavia Mozyr and 1.2 for Neman. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Neman to win at 2.50 – 43% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.89, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Slavia Mozyr 1–1 Neman. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Slavia Mozyr33%fair 3.00 · @2.62
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @2.90
Neman43%fair 2.31 · @2.50
2.13Expected goals
0.97Slavia Mozyr xG
1.16Neman xG
53%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Slavia Mozyr 1.0 – 1.2 Neman expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Neman to win✗
43%
2.31
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Neman / FT Neman✗
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.24
–
Form
Slavia Mozyr – last 6
LLWWWW
19 Apr
@ FC Gomel
1–3
L
15 Apr
vs Bate Borisov
0–1
L
5 Apr
@ FC Dnepr Mogilev
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Arsenal
2–0
W
8 Mar
vs Arsenal
2–0
W
25 Feb
vs Belshina
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Neman – last 4
WWDW
10 Apr
@ FC Minsk
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs FC Vitebsk
2–0
W
21 Mar
vs Bate Borisov
0–0
D
14 Mar
vs Niva
7–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Slavia Mozyr and Neman.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Slavia Mozyr vs Neman?
On our numbers Slavia Mozyr have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Neman 43%.
How many goals will there be in Slavia Mozyr vs Neman?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Slavia Mozyr vs Neman?
Our predicted score is Slavia Mozyr 1–1 Neman, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Slavia Mozyr vs Neman?
Slavia Mozyr vs Neman (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Junost.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
