Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Arsenal to win @ 2.09 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultArsenal to win ✓51% · @2.09
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.31
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.82
Arsenal vs Belshina preview and prediction
The match
Arsenal host Belshina in the Premier League on Monday 20 April, with kick-off at 14:45 (WAT) at Haradski Stadium. Arsenal are 12th with 27 points from 28 games (in the bottom half), while Belshina sit 13th on 24 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Arsenal's last 4: WDLL Most recently they beat Naftan 2–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Belshina's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to FC Dnepr Mogilev 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.4 for Arsenal and 0.9 for Belshina. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 50%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arsenal 51%, draw 22%, Belshina 27%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Arsenal to win at 2.09 – 51% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Arsenal 1–0 Belshina. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arsenal51%fair 1.96 · @2.09
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.26
Belshina27%fair 3.71 · @3.48
2.22Expected goals
1.36Arsenal xG
0.87Belshina xG
50%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–113%
0–011%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Arsenal 1.4 – 0.9 Belshina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arsenal to win✓
51%
1.96
2.09 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.31
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.31
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.69
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arsenal / FT Arsenal✓
28%
3.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.82
–
Form
Arsenal – last 4
WDLL
3 Apr
vs Naftan
2–0
W
20 Mar
@ FC Minsk
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Slavia Mozyr
0–2
L
8 Mar
@ Slavia Mozyr
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Belshina – last 5
LWDLW
10 Apr
vs FC Dnepr Mogilev
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs Dinamo Brest
1–0
W
14 Mar
vs FC Slutsk
1–1
D
25 Feb
@ Slavia Mozyr
0–1
L
14 Feb
vs FC Minsk
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arsenal and Belshina.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Arsenal vs Belshina?
On our numbers Arsenal have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Belshina 27%.
How many goals will there be in Arsenal vs Belshina?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Belshina?
Our predicted score is Arsenal 1–0 Belshina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Arsenal vs Belshina?
Arsenal vs Belshina (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 20 April 2026 at 14:45 (West Africa Time) at Haradski Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
