Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19% · fair 5.24
Naftan vs FC Gomel preview and prediction
The match
Naftan host FC Gomel in the Premier League on Friday 10 April, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Atlant Stadium. Naftan are 16th with 17 points from 28 games (in the bottom three), while FC Gomel sit 6th on 43 points (in the top half). A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Naftan's last 4: LDDD Most recently they lost to Arsenal 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
FC Gomel's last 4: LDWW Most recently they lost to FC Minsk 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FC Gomel arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 0.6 for Naftan and 0.9 for FC Gomel. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 81% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Naftan 33%, draw 22%, FC Gomel 45%.
Both teams to score: no (57%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.75, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Naftan 0–0 FC Gomel. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Naftan33%fair 3.06 · @3.10
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.00
FC Gomel45%fair 2.23 · @2.15
1.50Expected goals
0.65Naftan xG
0.85FC Gomel xG
43%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–022%
0–119%
1–014%
1–112%
0–28%
1–25%
From our goals model: Naftan 0.6 – 0.9 FC Gomel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Gomel to win✓
45%
2.23
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.85 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
57%
1.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
29%
3.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
19%
5.24
–
Form
Naftan – last 4
LDDD
3 Apr
@ Arsenal
0–2
L
22 Mar
vs FC Dnepr Mogilev
0–0
D
7 Mar
vs FC Vitebsk
1–1
D
18 Feb
@ Dinamo Minsk
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
FC Gomel – last 4
LDWW
5 Apr
@ FC Minsk
0–2
L
20 Mar
@ FC Vitebsk
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ FC Minsk
4–0
W
14 Feb
vs Bumprom
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Naftan and FC Gomel.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Naftan vs FC Gomel?
On our numbers Naftan have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FC Gomel 45%.
How many goals will there be in Naftan vs FC Gomel?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naftan vs FC Gomel?
Our predicted score is Naftan 0–0 FC Gomel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Naftan vs FC Gomel?
Naftan vs FC Gomel (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Atlant Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
