UNAN Managua vs Real Estelí preview and prediction
The match
Real Estelí travel to face UNAN Managua in the Primera Division on Monday 2 March (03:00 WAT). UNAN Managua are 4th with 25 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Real Estelí sit 3rd on 31 points (in the top four).
Form guide
UNAN Managua's last 3: LLW Most recently they lost to Walter Ferretti 0–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Real Estelí's last 3: WDW Most recently they beat Real Madriz 3–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Real Estelí arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 0.7 for UNAN Managua and 2.4 for Real Estelí. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: UNAN Managua 8%, draw 18%, Real Estelí 74%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Real Estelí to win – a 74% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: UNAN Managua 0–2 Real Estelí. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
UNAN Managua8%fair 12.26 · @10.75
Draw18%fair 5.63 · @5.20
Real Estelí74%fair 1.35 · @1.22
3.14Expected goals
0.72UNAN Managua xG
2.42Real Estelí xG
54%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–213%
0–110%
0–310%
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
From our goals model: UNAN Managua 0.7 – 2.4 Real Estelí expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Estelí to win✓
74%
1.35
1.22
Double chance
Real Estelí or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.67
Half-time result
Real Estelí ahead at half-time✓
55%
1.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Estelí / FT Real Estelí✓
51%
1.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
13%
7.87
–
Form
UNAN Managua – last 3
LLW
27 Feb
@ Walter Ferretti
0–2
L
22 Feb
@ H&H Export
1–4
L
20 Feb
vs Managua
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Real Estelí – last 3
WDW
27 Feb
vs Real Madriz
3–0
W
23 Feb
@ Matagalpa
1–1
D
19 Feb
vs H&H Export
3–2
W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between UNAN Managua and Real Estelí.
What is the prediction for UNAN Managua vs Real Estelí?
Our pick is Real Estelí to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win UNAN Managua vs Real Estelí?
On our numbers UNAN Managua have a 8% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Real Estelí 74%.
How many goals will there be in UNAN Managua vs Real Estelí?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UNAN Managua vs Real Estelí?
Our predicted score is UNAN Managua 0–2 Real Estelí, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is UNAN Managua vs Real Estelí?
UNAN Managua vs Real Estelí (Primera Division) kicks off on Monday 2 March 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Real Madriz1