Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
2
Value bet: Rochefort to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHabay-la-Neuve to win ✓40% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.76
Habay-la-Neuve vs Rochefort preview and prediction
The match
The First Amateur Division sees Habay-la-Neuve take on Rochefort on Sunday 15 March, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT). Habay-la-Neuve are 10th with 12 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Rochefort sit 2nd on 22 points (in the top four).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.7 for Habay-la-Neuve and 1.6 for Rochefort. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations.
Value angle: Rochefort to win at 3.10 – 36% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Habay-la-Neuve 1–1 Rochefort. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Habay-la-Neuve40%fair 2.51 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.00
Rochefort36%fair 2.79 · @3.10
3.31Expected goals
1.70Habay-la-Neuve xG
1.61Rochefort xG
64%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Habay-la-Neuve 1.7 – 1.6 Rochefort expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Habay-la-Neuve to win✓
40%
2.51
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.70 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Habay-la-Neuve / FT Habay-la-Neuve✗
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.76
–
Form
Habay-la-Neuve – last 2
WD
1 Mar
vs Excelsior Virton
3–1
W
15 Feb
@ Crossing Schaerbeek
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Rochefort – last 1
W
15 Feb
@ Standard Liège II
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Habay-la-Neuve and Rochefort.
What is the prediction for Habay-la-Neuve vs Rochefort?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Habay-la-Neuve vs Rochefort?
On our numbers Habay-la-Neuve have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rochefort 36%.
How many goals will there be in Habay-la-Neuve vs Rochefort?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Habay-la-Neuve vs Rochefort?
Our predicted score is Habay-la-Neuve 1–1 Rochefort, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Habay-la-Neuve vs Rochefort?
Habay-la-Neuve vs Rochefort (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.