Habay-la-Neuve vs Excelsior Virton prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Excelsior Virton or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Excelsior Virton to win @ 1.85 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultExcelsior Virton to win ✗63% · @1.85
Double chanceExcelsior Virton or draw ✗84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.62
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.09
Habay-la-Neuve vs Excelsior Virton preview and prediction
The match
Excelsior Virton travel to face Habay-la-Neuve in the First Amateur Division on Sunday 1 March (15:00 WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 1.3 for Habay-la-Neuve and 2.5 for Excelsior Virton. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations.
Safer route: Excelsior Virton or draw (84%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Excelsior Virton to win at 1.85 – 63% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Excelsior Virton or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Habay-la-Neuve 1–2 Excelsior Virton. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Habay-la-Neuve16%fair 6.32 · @3.50
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.30
Excelsior Virton63%fair 1.59 · @1.85
3.84Expected goals
1.29Habay-la-Neuve xG
2.55Excelsior Virton xG
66%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–38%
1–17%
0–27%
0–36%
2–26%
From our goals model: Habay-la-Neuve 1.3 – 2.5 Excelsior Virton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Excelsior Virton to win✗
63%
1.59
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Excelsior Virton or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.52
1.62 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Excelsior Virton ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Excelsior Virton / FT Excelsior Virton✗
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.09
–
Form
Habay-la-Neuve – last 1
D
15 Feb
@ Crossing Schaerbeek
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Excelsior Virton
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Habay-la-Neuve and Excelsior Virton.
What is the prediction for Habay-la-Neuve vs Excelsior Virton?
Our pick is Excelsior Virton or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Habay-la-Neuve vs Excelsior Virton?
On our numbers Habay-la-Neuve have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Excelsior Virton 63%.
How many goals will there be in Habay-la-Neuve vs Excelsior Virton?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Habay-la-Neuve vs Excelsior Virton?
Our predicted score is Habay-la-Neuve 1–2 Excelsior Virton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Habay-la-Neuve vs Excelsior Virton?
Habay-la-Neuve vs Excelsior Virton (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.