Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗11% · fair 9.09
ES Tunis vs AS Marsa preview and prediction
The match
The Ligue 1 sees ES Tunis take on AS Marsa on Saturday 7 March, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi. ES Tunis are 2nd with 16 points from 7 games (in the top four), while AS Marsa sit 11th on 6 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
ES Tunis's last 4: WDWW Most recently they beat Olympique Béja 3–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 2.0 for ES Tunis and 0.5 for AS Marsa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: ES Tunis 74%, draw 17%, AS Marsa 9%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: ES Tunis 2–0 AS Marsa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ES Tunis74%fair 1.35 · @1.20
Draw17%fair 5.82 · @5.20
AS Marsa9%fair 11.30 · @13.00
2.50Expected goals
2.00ES Tunis xG
0.50AS Marsa xG
48%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–016%
1–016%
3–011%
0–08%
2–18%
1–18%
From our goals model: ES Tunis 2.0 – 0.5 AS Marsa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ES Tunis to win✓
74%
1.35
1.20
Double chance
ES Tunis or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.01
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.45
Half-time result
ES Tunis ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ES Tunis / FT ES Tunis✓
48%
2.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
11%
9.09
–
Form
ES Tunis – last 4
WDWW
1 Mar
@ Olympique Béja
3–0
W
25 Feb
@ ES Metlaoui
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Stade Tunisien
1–0
W
17 Feb
@ AS Soliman
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
AS Marsa – last 1
L
28 Feb
vs Stade Tunisien
0–4
L
0.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ES Tunis and AS Marsa.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win ES Tunis vs AS Marsa?
On our numbers ES Tunis have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 17% and AS Marsa 9%.
How many goals will there be in ES Tunis vs AS Marsa?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ES Tunis vs AS Marsa?
Our predicted score is ES Tunis 2–0 AS Marsa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is ES Tunis vs AS Marsa?
ES Tunis vs AS Marsa (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.