Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Stade Tunisien to win @ 2.45 – our chance 44% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultStade Tunisien to win ✓44% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.91
AS Marsa vs Stade Tunisien preview and prediction
The match
Stade Tunisien travel to face AS Marsa in the Ligue 1 on Saturday 28 February (13:00 WAT). AS Marsa are 11th with 6 points from 6 games (in the bottom half), while Stade Tunisien sit 3rd on 13 points (in the top four).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.9 for AS Marsa and 1.1 for Stade Tunisien. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: AS Marsa 32%, draw 24%, Stade Tunisien 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Stade Tunisien to win at 2.45 – 44% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: AS Marsa 0–1 Stade Tunisien. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AS Marsa32%fair 3.10 · @2.95
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @2.88
Stade Tunisien44%fair 2.28 · @2.45
1.93Expected goals
0.86AS Marsa xG
1.08Stade Tunisien xG
51%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–014%
1–113%
1–012%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: AS Marsa 0.9 – 1.1 Stade Tunisien expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stade Tunisien to win✓
44%
2.28
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
1.15
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stade Tunisien / FT Stade Tunisien✓
23%
4.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.91
–
Form
AS Marsa
No recent results on record.
Stade Tunisien – last 2
LW
21 Feb
@ ES Tunis
0–1
L
13 Feb
vs Olympique Béja
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AS Marsa and Stade Tunisien.
What is the prediction for AS Marsa vs Stade Tunisien?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win AS Marsa vs Stade Tunisien?
On our numbers AS Marsa have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Stade Tunisien 44%.
How many goals will there be in AS Marsa vs Stade Tunisien?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AS Marsa vs Stade Tunisien?
Our predicted score is AS Marsa 0–1 Stade Tunisien, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is AS Marsa vs Stade Tunisien?
AS Marsa vs Stade Tunisien (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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