Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCRB to win ✓71% · @1.23
Double chanceCRB or draw ✓87% · fair 1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.00
CRB vs Porto BA preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Do Brasil sees CRB take on Porto BA on Wednesday 4 March, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Porto BA's last 3: LWD Most recently they lost to Juazeirense 1–3 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.4 for CRB and 0.9 for Porto BA. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 52% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: CRB 71%, draw 16%, Porto BA 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.15.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.15 – 52% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was CRB to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: CRB 2–0 Porto BA. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CRB71%fair 1.40 · @1.23
Draw16%fair 6.19 · @5.40
Porto BA13%fair 8.00 · @11.00
3.27Expected goals
2.41CRB xG
0.85Porto BA xG
52%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
2–19%
1–09%
3–09%
1–18%
3–18%
From our goals model: CRB 2.4 – 0.9 Porto BA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CRB to win✓
71%
1.40
1.23
Double chance
CRB or draw✓
87%
1.14
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.65
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.48
Half-time result
CRB ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CRB / FT CRB✓
48%
2.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.00
–
Form
CRB – last 1
W
19 Feb
vs CSA
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Porto BA – last 3
LWD
22 Feb
vs Juazeirense
1–3
L
18 Feb
vs Serra Branca
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Atlético Alagoinhas
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CRB and Porto BA.
Our pick is CRB to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win CRB vs Porto BA?
On our numbers CRB have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Porto BA 13%.
How many goals will there be in CRB vs Porto BA?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CRB vs Porto BA?
Our predicted score is CRB 2–0 Porto BA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is CRB vs Porto BA?
CRB vs Porto BA (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
