Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCeara to win ✓62% · @1.61
Double chanceCeara or draw ✓83% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.07
Ceara vs Primavera SP preview and prediction
The match
Primavera SP travel to Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo in the Copa Do Brasil on Friday 27 February (00:00 WAT) to face Ceara.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Ceara and 0.8 for Primavera SP. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.05 – 53% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Ceara 2–0 Primavera SP. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ceara62%fair 1.61 · @1.61
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.45
Primavera SP17%fair 5.75 · @5.60
2.71Expected goals
1.86Ceara xG
0.85Primavera SP xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Ceara 1.9 – 0.8 Primavera SP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ceara to win✓
62%
1.61
1.61
Double chance
Ceara or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.22
Half-time result
Ceara ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ceara / FT Ceara✓
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.07
–
Form
Ceara – last 2
WW
22 Feb
vs Floresta
4–0
W
15 Feb
@ Floresta
3–0
W
3.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Primavera SP – last 2
WD
18 Feb
@ Araguaína
3–0
W
16 Feb
vs Noroeste
3–3
D
3.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ceara and Primavera SP.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Ceara vs Primavera SP?
On our numbers Ceara have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Primavera SP 17%.
How many goals will there be in Ceara vs Primavera SP?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ceara vs Primavera SP?
Our predicted score is Ceara 2–0 Primavera SP, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Ceara vs Primavera SP?
Ceara vs Primavera SP (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
CEOV Operário1
Porto Velho1